I hope this is the right forum for my question:
I am using the ProfileLikelihoodCalculator class to compute an (“observed”) upper limit on the number of signal events, as function of a physical parameter (Higgs mass).
Using the sum of (Standard Model) background processes, I also compute an expected upper limit as function of the physical parameter.
What I would like to do now is to compute +/-1 and +/-2 sigma bands around the expected limit, in order to provide an estimate of how compatible a certain observed upper limit is with the expected value of the limit.
I am wondering if there is a recommended way to compute the +/-1 and +/-2 sigma bands ?
you can get the expected limits by running Toy MC events and run the ProfileLikelihood on them.
We have an example of this in RooStats a s a tutorial, see
$ROOTSYS/tutorials/roostats/rs503_ProfileLikelihoodCalculator_averageLimit.C
Hi,
the tutorial was sometimes crashing in old RooStats version. Now it should work, and we could probably re-introduce it an updated and improved version.