I hope this is the right forum for my question:
I am using a binned LikelihoodMethod to compute an (“observed”) upper limit on the Zprime (to ttbar) prduction cross section, as function of a physical parameter ( Zprime mass).
Using the sum of (Standard Model) background processes, I also compute an expected upper limit as function of the physical parameter.
I would like to compute +/-1 and +/-2 sigma bands around the expected limit, in order to provide an estimate of how compatible a certain observed upper limit with the expected value of the limit.
I am wondering if there is a recommended way to compute the +/-1 and +/-2 sigma bands ?
Thank you Pepe Le Pew,
this calculte the limit at different confidence levels. But i want to calculate the statistical uncertainties to this limit with +/- 1 sigma and +/-2 sigma (sigma=standard deviation) bands around this expected limit.
To be clear i want to compute the bands as the yellow and the the green bands in the attached plots.